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deanb
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EU Referndum  

9 members have voted

  1. 1. Should UK leave the EU

    • From UK: Should Stay
      3
    • From UK: Should Leave
      0
    • Outside of UK: Should Stay
      4
    • Outside of UK: Should Leave
      0
    • Outside of UK: None of my beeswax
      1
    • Left Leg In UK, Left Leg Out UK: Do the Okie-Kokie (that's what it's all about)
      1


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The post I've just seen on facebook puts Labour's total votes at around 40,000, and tories at a total 34,000.

 

Tories have like 70 more seats.

 

It's great.

 

 

Con have 37% of the votes, 50% of the seats. Lab have 30% of the votes, 35% of the seats. SNP have 5% of the votes, 9% of the seats. Lib Dem have 8% of the votes, 1.2% of the seats, n UKIP has 13% of votes with 0.1% of the seats, n greens with 4% of the votes n 0.1% of the seats.


And that, my friends, is the problem with first past the post.  Like GOH! said, it is largely to blame for the US's terrible system.

 

 

I read some really insightful info the other day about how Republican/Democrat are meaningless even beyond the bipartisan FPTP system in the USA. I'll find the info and post it in the relevant thread. Was insanely mindblowing.

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Voting reform was pushed for last time, and didn't happen. 

 

No way in hell are Tories opening that one up again.

 

1) It was a Lib Dem policy, they aren't going to admit that Clegg had a point.

2) When the people were given the choice it was a landslide vote in favour of "I would rather have a broken system that I am familiar with than read a three page booklet explaining the proposed new system."

3) If they start revisiting referendums after just 4 years, they will be staring down the barrel of another Scottish referendum before the next term.

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A weird thing came up in conversation last night.

 

Any government isn't actually all that bad for me. I'm fortunate enough to be on a decent income, high enough that I'm not reliant on state welfare, but low enough that mansion taxes etc don't have any effect on me. I'm in relatively good health and have medical cover through work, so while I am staunchly in favour of the NHS and consider it a legit wonder of the modern world, I'm not personally dependent on it. I walk to work so am not reliant on public transport, nor susceptible to car tax, fuel duty or any of the other costs of private or public transport. I'm white, middle class, straight and male so have the full package of standard privilege.

 

Basically my life wouldn't be noticeably different if anyone from Cons to Lab to Lib to Green to UKIP were in power, I'd just keep ticking along minding my own business. I would love to know what % of the population that applies to and how many are in the 34% of people who didn't vote.

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A weird thing came up in conversation last night.

 

Any government isn't actually all that bad for me. I'm fortunate enough to be on a decent income, high enough that I'm not reliant on state welfare, but low enough that mansion taxes etc don't have any effect on me. I'm in relatively good health and have medical cover through work, so while I am staunchly in favour of the NHS and consider it a legit wonder of the modern world, I'm not personally dependent on it. I walk to work so am not reliant on public transport, nor susceptible to car tax, fuel duty or any of the other costs of private or public transport. I'm white, middle class, straight and male so have the full package of standard privilege.

 

Basically my life wouldn't be noticeably different if anyone from Cons to Lab to Lib to Green to UKIP were in power, I'd just keep ticking along minding my own business. I would love to know what % of the population that applies to and how many are in the 34% of people who didn't vote.

 

I am in literally the exact same situation.

 

Bar the fact that I don't have medical cover from my work. But I'd say this is made up for by the very healthy state of the Scottish NHS. The health and social care up here really is amazing.

 

It's absolutely a principles thing for me. Basically my life carries on generally the same no matter who is in power. But I know many people, and in the past have known even more, who have been terribly affected by right wing policies, and I just can't stand that shit happening anymore. My parents are included in this.

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In the US, but I'm pretty much in the same position.  I do drive to work when the weather's not nice, but it's not very far so I can go 2 months without a fill-up, and I don't think our fuel taxes are as bad as yours anyway.

 

*Edit - I do have Obamacare insurance, but I don't actually qualify for any subsidies and my firm pays my premium anyway.

Edited by TheMightyEthan
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I also get the subway when the weather's not nice. It's not cheap but it's not expensive either. I can often go weeks without topping up my smartcard. The politics don't really impact much on it in this case.

 

We do get hit by some fairly gnarly charges on our car, which my gf uses most days – but that's fair enough. Cars should be banned in urban areas anyway. At the very least everyone in/near a city should be disincentivised to use them. There's no need for that shit unless you live in the countryside/small towns.

Edited by kenshi_ryden
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True – and I guess that's near impossible to gauge in a consistent way

 

But you can also imagine public transport infrastructure exploding as a byproduct of not allowing anyone to drive into cities anymore, so infrastructure would theoretically get a boost anyway

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I'm comfortably upper middle class, but since I'm a lawyer who works in areas of law that are frequently subject legislative/regulatory changes, who's in power can greatly affect my career prospects. I also live in a city and state whose actions affect me noticeably, from raising the fare on the subway, to shutting down the hospital where my doctors work, to granting insurance companies the right to raise rates 50% year over year, to allowing a bar across to street to stay open after midnight, significantly increasing noise while I'm trying to sleep. 

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This is an eye-opening and, once you get far down, quite frightening read: https://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/shaun-lawson/polls-and-all-but-one-of-forecasts-were-wrong-ed-miliband-was-nowhere-near-b

 

 

In practice, as the NCP model conclusively demonstrates, Labour were never ahead, and have probably been several points behind throughout the campaign. Yet that’s not what the polling companies were saying. Should organisations with such disastrously flawed methodology and a consistent record of inaccuracy which, as exposed by NCP, dates back at least 32 years, be allowed to dominate the agenda in such a way; and above all, to have such heavy influence on debate and public discourse?

 

Remember: huge amounts of the Tory campaign were dedicated to frightening English voters into stopping a minority Labour government propped up by the SNP – but in practice, this was never the prospect it appeared, because Labour were doing much worse than was believed. Enormous amounts of discussion were put over not to policy, not to manifestos, but the electoral and Parliamentary arithmetic – but this bore no resemblance to the reality.

 

...

 

Ashcroft has morphed in public persona from hugely controversial non-dom to friend of the political process: opening up the business of polling to the public in a manner never seen before. But Ashcroft, contrary to what so many must assume, is not a pollster: he buys in polling from other companies, publishes the results, but won’t reveal who these companies are. He himself is not a member of the British Polling Council either.

Not only that, but he’s an extremely wealthy Tory peer, and former Deputy Chairman of the Party. During tbis campaign, he’s tweeted his admiration of Sturgeon – whose ‘danger to England’ just so happened, by purest coincidence, to constitute the central plank of the successful Conservative strategy. I have never known a Tory give such regular praise to a nationalist in the way Ashcroft has.

His final ‘snapshot’, released well after 7am yesterday, had Conservative and Labour tied, and only added to the bigger picture that the two parties were deadlocked. But ask yourself, purely hypothetically: if you were a Tory who naturally desired your party to win as convincingly as possible, would you want the final poll to have them well ahead… or locked in a race too close to call, which would encourage maximum possible turnout? More to the point: purely hypothetically, if you were a Tory who wanted maximum possible negative exposure of Labour throughout an election campaign, scaring the public into voting heavily against them, would you want them to be well behind… or seemingly on the verge of victory?

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  • 1 month later...
  • 3 weeks later...

https://www.reddit.com/r/britishproblems/comments/3co6vj/the_job_centre_have_decided_i_will_work_for_them/

 

I really hope this is just not true. The whole "Workfair/workfare" thing is just utter trash. Displacing actual paid jobs, and actual earnings in large businesses and organisations. Set folks up in charities or something. It'd be a right fucking joke if the people "working" in the Job Centre are actually on JSA.

 

In general the IFS is saying 25% of working families will be out of £1000 a year on the new budget, so hooray. And cos they're slashing tax credits so much, the new "living wage" bait n switch/renaming thing won't have any impact in real terms of cash households will actually have to hand.

 

Best thing you can do now is declare yourself a company n reduce your tax payments :P

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Just look at the guy.  He's probably on 6 different medications, has a trick knee that aches when it rains, and can barely do anything without his arthritis acting up.  It's clearly past his 3 o'clock tea and nap session, too.

 

Now, that little Prince George has my wife going gaga.  She thinks he's the cutest kid she's ever seen.  But, if he threw a tantrum because he missed a nap, I don't think any one of us would fault the little guy.

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  • 3 weeks later...

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